Abstract:
This essay investigates the role government taxes and transfers played in
reducing provincial inequality in Canada during 1926-1990. The
rates of inter-provincial income convergence are compared for three income
measures.
Government policy had a significant
impact in fascilitating provincial income convergence. A cross-sectional
NLS estimation
reveals that roughly one-half of the observed income convergence
over this period was due to government tax and transfer policies. Income
convergence accelerated in the 1960s, coincident with the
convergence of human capital measures across provinces at that time.
However, the successes of
government policy in reducing income disparities may have restrained
further convergence forces by inhibiting economic flexibility -
particularly labour mobility - in some
regions in Canada. A time series approach investigates the
possibility of long-run 'equilibrium' relationships for income
convergence. Unit root test are performed for income convergence
between a given province and the national average, and a given province
and
neighboring provinces. The results show Western provinces were more
tightly intergrated, consistent with a more
mobile labour force and homogeneous economic
structure. Unfortunately, some Atlantic provinces appeared to
reach an equilibrium relationship below the national average.
In sum, the same policies that were
beneficial in reducing provincial
income disparities may also provide disincentives that prevent
further convergence.