Research Conducted at the Department of Finance:
Abstract:
Rules of origin (ROO) are used in preferential trade agreements to
determine which goods are eligible for a reduced tariff rate. These
rules are often identified as restrictive and cumbersome for
businesses that export goods. As a result, NAFTA member countries
are considering proposals to liberalize NAFTA ROO. The purpose of
this paper is to review the theoretical and empirical literature on
ROO to give a clearer understanding of the issues involved. This
paper delivers two main conclusions.
First, while the theoretical research on
ROO has made progress,
sound empirical work remains rare because ROO have proven difficult
to measure and model explicitly. This obstacle is unfortunate
because theoretical work suggests, depending on the restrictiveness
of ROO, the welfare effects of ROO are ambiguous. Empirical
analysis, therefore, is the only tool capable of addressing policy
experiments.
Second, among the various empirical
methodologies identified in the
literature, Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) modeling seems to
be the most fruitful approach. Existing CGE applications, however,
fail to adequately incorporate ROO. As a result, I conclude that a
research project that models both the essence of ROO in the
benchmark, and their removal in the counterfactual, would add some
fresh insight to the policy debate over the liberalization of NAFTA
ROO.