Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell, and Aubrey Poon, "Regional
Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency
Estimates from 1970?", Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 35,
No. 2, 2020, pp. 176-197.

The two data files are ASCII files in DOS format organized as .csv
files. They are zipped in the file kmmp-data.zip. Unix/Linux users
should use "unzip -a".

The zip file contains two ASCII data files.


1. Annual Regional GVA.csv:

This file contains the annual regional GVA growth data from 1967 to
2017.  For each of the 12 regions, data are presented for nominal GVA
(successive first releases), nominal GVA (December 2017 data release)
and real GVA (December 2017 data release).

Data are log first differenced and presented as year-on-year changes
in % (see Section 2.2 of paper). Row 1 in the csv indicates whether
the data are for nominal GVA (first or December 2017 data release) or
real GVA (December 2017 data release). Row 2 in the csv indicates one
of the twelve regions. Source: ONS.


2. Quarterly.csv: 

This file contains the quarterly UK GVA growth data and the quarterly
indicator data from 1967Q1 to 2017Q4.

The quarterly UK GVA data comprise: UK nominal GVA growth (successive
ONS first releases), UK nominal GVA growth (December 2017 data release
from ONS) and UK real GVA growth (December 2017 data release from
ONS). Data are log first differenced and presented as
quarter-on-quarter changes in % (see Section 2.2 of paper). Source:
ONS.

The quarterly indicator data comprise: UK CPI inflation (source: ONS),
UK Bank Rate (interest rate, source: Bank of England), the UK/US
exchange rate (source: Bank of England?s Millennium Database), Brent
crude oil prices (in $, source: Thomson Reuters Datastream), the
regional claimant count measure of unemployment (denoted "Regional
Name: cc") in %, seasonally adjusted (source:
http://www.nomisweb.co.uk) and the regional CBI data measuring
business optimism (denoted "Region Name: CBI").

Except for the Bank Rate and CPI inflation, all variables are log
first differenced and presented as quarter-on-quarter changes in %
(see Section 2.2 of main paper). The Bank Rate is presented 'as is' in
%. CPI inflation is measured in % as the log difference relative to
the same quarter a year ago. The regional CBI data (the Business
Optimism Indicator) are presented in % (and are the CBI data,
measuring the balance in optimism, divided by 10; source: Thomson
Reuters Datastream). These CBI data are produced for 11 regions of the
UK (these reflect the NUTS 1 regional definitions with the exception
of London and the South East of England where separate data are not
available). 

Further data details are provided in the Online Data Appendix
(Appendix A) to the main paper. See
https://www.escoe.ac.uk/regionalnowcasting/ for quarterly regional GVA
data updates with downloadable Excel files. 


James Mitchell
James.Mitchell [AT] wbs.ac.uk