Jamie Cross, Bao H. Nguyen, and Trung Duc Tran, "The Role of Precautionary and Speculative Demand in the Global Market for Crude Oil", Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 37, No. 5, 2022, pp. 882-895. All data are stored in the file oil-data.zip. They are ASCII text files in DOS format. DATA **** The data used in the SVAR model are monthly and titled "Data_SVAR.txt". The datasets are arranged in column format with rows corresponding to months and columns corresponding to variables. The rows contain data at the following dates ... giving ... total observations per series. The columns contain data on the following variables (in this order): C1--the growth rate of global oil production C2--the measure of global business cycle C3--the log of real price of oil C4--the change in global crude oil inventories C5--oil price uncertainty index The data used in the contruction of the OPU index are titled "Data_SVAR.txt". The datasets are arranged in column format with rows corresponding to months and columns corresponding to variables. The rows contain dates from 1973--January to 2018--June giving 546 total observations per series. The columns contain data on the following variables (in this order): C1--Crude oil price: U.S. Crude Oil Imported Acquisition Cost by Refiners C2--Energy Index C3--Crude oil price: Average C4--Crude oil price: Dubai C5--Coal price: Australian C6--Natural gas price: US C7--Natural gas price: Europe C8--Natural gas price: Index C9--Exchange Rate: AUD (DEXUSAL) C10--Exchange Rate: CAD(EXCAUS) C11--Exchange Rate: CLP(CCUSSP02CLM650N) C12--Exchange Rate: NZD( DEXUSNZ) C13--Exchange Rate: NOK(DEXNOUS) C14--Exchange Rate: ZAR(EXSFUS) C15--Economic Activity: Kilian Index C16--Oil Production C17--US Uncertainty: JLN C18--Economic Activity: OECD+6NME Industrial Production C19--Crude Oil Stock (Thousand Barrels) C20--Money Supply: USM1 C21--Price Index: USCPI Data sources: The data for the oil market variables in the SVAR was made available from replication files for Xiaoqing Zhou, "Refining the Workhorse Oil Market Model", Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 35, No. 1, 2020, pp. 130-140. Link to data archive: http://qed.econ.queensu.ca/jae/datasets/zhou001/ The data for the construction of the OPU index were made available from the following sources: 1. U.S. Crude Oil Imported Acquisition Cost by Refiners (Dollars per Barrel) Data (Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)) 2. Other Fuel Data: Energy Index, Cruide oil index, Coal (Australian), Natural gas (Source: World Bank Pink Sheet) 3. Commodity Exchange Rate: AUD, CAD, CLP, NZD, ZAR (Source: St Louis FED) 4. Other Macro Variables: i. Real Economic Activity (Source: Kilian, 2009) ii. Oil Production (Source: EIA) iii. Above-ground oil inventories (Source: EIA) iv. U.S M1, U.S CPI (Source: St Louis FED)